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Nevada Wolfpack vs. Northwestern Wildcats: Previews, Predictions and Prognostications

The first game of the season is here. The Northwestern Wildcats prepare to make good on their bowl momentum last year as they open the season against the Nevada Wolfpack.

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Pat Fitzgerald, Northwestern Wildcats

When: Sat. Sept. 2, 2017; 3:30 p.m. ET/2:30 p.m. CT
Where: Evanston, Ill.; Ryan Field (47,130)
TV: BTN
All-Time Series: Series tied 1-1
Last Meeting: Northwestern won 36-31 (Sept. 8, 2007)
Line: Northwestern (-24)

Northwestern fans are a normally pessimistic bunch. This is a school that has not experienced a lot of success and what little success the team has seems fleeting.

Really, it is a defense mechanism. There have been too many heartbreaks and too many disappointments — losses snatched from the jaws of victory and the like — to get too excited about anything. Other than the start of the season.

The last time Northwestern won a bowl game, everyone began to believe. Everyone circled the Week Five date with Ohio State for ESPN College GameDay. Everyone got upset when the Wildcats were not ranked in the preseason top 25. It felt like Northwestern was arriving following a Gator Bowl victory and returning an extremely talented roster.

That Ohio State game, a close 10-point defeat (the 10-point deficit was created on a scoop and score just before the end of the game), felt like Northwestern’s statement of belonging. Of course, the team proceeded to drop the next five games, finishing the year 5-7. The Wildcats missed a bowl game the following year too.

Northwestern did not arrive. The Wildcats did what they sort of always do.

And that was the general feeling after they got off to a disappointing 1-2 start in non-conference play. That included a loss at home to Western Michigan, Clayton Thorson fumbling the go-ahead touchdown out the back of the end zone. And then there was the embarrassing loss to Illinois State.

Northwestern recovered and was on the outside periphery of the Big Ten West title picture. The team finished at 6-6 and got to the Pinstripe Bowl. The upset victory over Pitt gave Northwestern’s its third all-time bowl win and a ton of optimism for the offseason.

After all, quarterback Clayton Thorson, running back and Big Ten leading rusher Justin Jackson and safety Godwin Igwebuike all return. There is plenty of talent throughout. And the schedule and conference seem to break Northwestern’s way. The Wildcats see an open door to compete for a division title.

But this is Northwestern. And every little bit of success makes every fan uneasy. When is that other shoe going to drop?

It always starts with that first game. Nobody is ever sure what Northwestern team is going to show up. Even when the Wildcats are heavy favorites.

The only thing to do is see what this season has in store. And what this Saturday has in store.

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1 Burning Question: Can Clayton Thorson lead the offense?

Much of the optimism around Northwestern centers around quarterback Clayton Thorson. He graduated from wide-eyed freshman managing the game to difference maker last year in passing for 3,182 yards and 22 touchdowns. The team could put the ball in his hands and let him sling it.

Of course, it helped to have Austin Carr. He was the primary receiver and the bail out option for Thorson on seemingly every turn. So the question now becomes who does Thorson turn to?

Maybe the bigger question is can Thorson make one of those players his new star receiver. Thorson has the arm strength and ability to make all the throws. The junior quarterback attended the Peyton Manning Passing Academy. There is another level he can go. And Justin Jackson’s production is going to be a constant.

So the wild card is Thorson and his ability to elevate the play of a new batch of wide receivers. Nevada is the kind of team that will give him the opportunity to do so. This is the kind of game where the team’s stars should simply dominate.

2 Key Stats

347: Nevada is going to be hurting for some consistent production this year in the run game. The Wolfpack lost leading rusher James Butler from last year, He eclipsed the 1,000-yard mark as Nevada had a pretty solid rushing attack. The leading runner returning? That is Jaxson Kincaide and all of his 347 yards. In fairness, Northwestern’s backup running back, John Moten IV, also rushed for only 340 yards. But considering the Wildcats are reworking their front seven and the Wolfpack’s poor passing attack last year, this is not a good sign for offensive success this week.

105: Last year Austin Carr was a dominant force for the Wildcats, making 90 catches for 1,247 yards. Solomon Vault, similarly, was a huge threat in the run and the pass. In all they caught 105 of Northwestern’s 282 receptions and 1,411 of 3,186 yards and 14 of 22 touchdowns. And all of that is gone for this year. Carr graduated and Vault is out with an injury for the year. The question for the Wildcats is how they replace this production. It will be a big storyline for the team in these early games if NU is going to compete for a division title.

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3 Key Players

Godwin Igwebuike, Northwestern S: The Wildcats are still figuring out who replaces Anthony Walker at linebacker, but they should feel good about who their leader is. Godwin Igwebuike is a hard-hitting safety who has a knack for finding the ball on defense. He creates a lot of takeaways. And as the lader of Northwestern’s promising secondary, he has a chance to lead this team back to defensive prominence.

David Cornwell, Nevada QB: Nevada has not named an official starter, listing both David Cornwell and Ty Gangi as the starting quarterback. There is no intention to name a starter before the opener Saturday. Gangi was the backup last year. Cornwell, a junior like Gangi, transferred from Alabama. So the kid is clearly talented. But he is a bit of an unknown and could be a wild card for Saturday’s game.

Gunnar Vogel, Northwestern OT: Northwestern has some big questions to answer on the offensive line. The team returned a lot of its starters, but NU was clearly unhappy with how things went. There is a lot of inexperience that could push for playing time. One of them will be starter Gunnar Vogel. The redshirt freshman practiced last year as a defensive tackle during his redshirt year and converted back to the offensive line. This is a big spot for him to enter.

Prediction: Northwestern 35, Nevada 17

 

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Buckeyes Football

2018 Big Ten Championship Game Preview: 5 Things to Know

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What some may argue was one of the most intriguing and surprising seasons in recent Big Ten football history comes to a close on Saturday as the expected meets the unexpected. 

It’ll be the Ohio State Buckeyes against the Northwestern Wildcats for all the Big Ten marbles. For Ohio State it also means a potential berth in the College Football Playoffs are on the line. 

All week long we will take an in-depth look at this unexpected matchup. It starts today with a look at the 5 things to know about these two teams. 

5: Northwestern’s 5th in scoring defense in the Big Ten

That may not be a mind-blowing stat, but believe it or not the Wildcats have the better defense going in to this game and that can matter a lot when the nerves and dust settles on this game. 

Northwestern is allowing an average of just 21.7 points per game this season. Only three teams scored 30 points or more on the Wildcats — Akron, Nebraska and Notre Dame. 

Conversely, six of the last eight opponents have failed to score 20 or more points and only Michigan (20) and Nebraska (31) scored more than 20 points on Northwestern in Big Ten play. 

On the flip side, Ohio State’s defense comes in 7th in the Big Ten — giving up 25.8 points per game and allowing 40 touchdowns to opponents.

4: This is Ohio State’s 4th Big Ten championship game appearance

It seems like old hat at this point, but the Buckeyes aren’t the record holders for most appearances in the title game just yet. That honor belongs to the Wisconsin Badgers with five appearances. 

Still, no other team knows the ins and outs of Lucas Oil Stadium as well as the Buckeyes or Badgers do. That experience inside the stadium and with all the things happening around the game will matter a bit, especially early on in this game. 

OSU holds a 2-1 record in the three previous games, beating Wisconsin twice and losing a 34-24 decision to Michigan State in 2013. 

A win in this game would break a three-way tie for most title game wins with MSU and Wisconsin — all of which have won twice in Indy. 

3: OSU QB Dwayne Haskins is averaging just over 3 TD passes per game

The record books have loved putting Dwayne Haskins’ name in them in 2018. I mean, he broke a record I thought never would be broken — Drew Brees’ single-season touchdown record — by throwing 42 touchdowns and counting. 

Doing the mental math there, that means he is averaging 3.5 passing touchdowns per game. It also means he leads the country in passing touchdowns this season. Will Greir is next on the list, but he’s five touchdown passes behind Haskins. That’s how good of a season he’s having. 

It’s led to a record-breaking six Big Ten Offensive Player of the Week awards this year. Oh, and his 4,081 yards already this year make him one of only two quarterbacks to do that in the 2018 regular season. 

As for Northwestern? This could all be dangerous news, especially considering the fact that the Wildcats are 11th in the Big Ten in passing defense (238.0 yards per game). The good news is NU’s pass defense has bent, but not broken a lot — giving up just nine passing touchdowns to opponents this year. 

Which will win out? The Buckeyes pass attack that gets yards and scores or the NU defense that allows yards, but not touchdowns through the air…

2: Northwestern has fumbled the ball just twice all season

One way to win close games is by not making big mistakes. Northwestern has been pretty good about that, fumbling the ball just twice this season. It’s the lowest total in the Big Ten and tied for fewest in the country with Mississippi State. 

Unfortunately, the Wildcats also had 13 interceptions on the year. Only Rutgers (22), Minnesota (14) and Illinois (14) had more interceptions thrown on the year. 

Ohio State’s defense has been one of the best in forcing fumbles this season. It’s 11 fumbles gained are second in the Big Ten to Indiana’s 13. 

Which one will give on Saturday in Indianapolis? 

1: It’s Northwestern’s first appearance in the Big Ten championship game

A lot of the talk this week will not only center on Ohio State’s CFB Playoff hopes, but also on the fact that Northwestern is making the trip to Indianapolis for the first time. 

There have been seven Big Ten championship games and excluding the first ever edition of it, only one team making its first appearance in the title game has won. That was Penn State beating Wisconsin in the title game back in 2016. 

In total teams are 1-3 in their first appearance in the game. It’ll be a major talking point and rightfully so, as the hoopla and extra stuff around the game make this very different than any bowl game other than the Rose Bowl for a Big Ten team. 

How Fitzgerald and the Wildcats coaches handle figuring out how to handle all the extra stuff will be vital. Some will try to embrace everything that happens, others will insulate their kids. It really depends on the personality of the team and getting it right can mean as much as getting the game plan right on game day. 

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Widcats Basketball

WATCH: Northwestern unveils inside look at Welsh-Ryan Arena

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After a year spent at the strange confines of Allstate Arena out in Rosemont, the Northwestern Wildcats basketball teams will return home to Welsh-Ryan Arena for the 2018-19 season. 

On Friday, the Wildcats released a video look at what the new-look arena actually looks like ahead of the opener. 

Take a look at this state-of-the-art arena built around the old school appearance on the outside. 

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Football

Northwestern finally solves Ryan Field riddle in OT win

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Northwestern had three tries to win at home and lost all three so far this season. It was almost four, but the Wildcats found a way to prevail 34-31 in overtime over Nebraska on Saturday afternoon. 

The win was the Wildcats third in the last four meetings and second-straight in the series between these West division foes.

It also meant Nebraska was sent to an 0-6 start to the season, something that has never happened in the history of the Huskers program. 

It was an interesting way to win the game for Northwestern, as walk-on kicker Drew Luckenbaugh went from a goat to hero in less than 30 minutes of football. 

The back-up kicker missed an opening kick from 42 yards out in the third quarter, but would hit an important field goal with his team down 10 points late in the fourth quarter and drill the game-winner from 37 yards out in overtime.

Northwestern also got a big day from quarterback Clayton Thorson. He completed 41 of 61 passes for 455 yards and three touchdowns. Only a pair of interceptions put a blemish on his day, as did the fact that the Wildcats only got 32 yards on the ground on 23 attempts. 

Husker quarterback Adrian Martinez wasn’t as good, throwing for 251 yards but only one score and two interceptions on the day. 

But, the dueling pair of interceptions were a wash, as both teams got 10 points off turnovers. 

The win for Northwestern seemed to be slipping from its grasp much as it did against Michigan a few weeks ago. As time wore on, momentum swung heavily towards the visiting Huskers. 

Nebraska appeared to take control of this game in the second half. A trio of unanswered touchdowns took a 14-7 Northwestern lead to a 28-14 advantage with just 13:40 to play in the game. 

But, unlike previous home contests, Thorson and the Wildcats had an answer or two in them. It was a quick answer to bring the game within a score, as the Wildcats got a 61-yard touchdown pass from Clayton Thorson to Flynn Nagel.

But, Barrett Pickering made it a 10-point game with a 34-yard field goal with 5:41 to play. 

Lukenbaugh answered back with a key field goal to make it 31-24 with 2:27 to go. His 31-yard field goal capped off a 15-play drive that went 62 yards in just 3:14 of time. 

Nebraska was held to a three-and-out on the ensuing drive and Northwestern capitalized on the momentum swing of its own. 

It would take a full 99 yards though, as the Huskers pinned Northwestern back on its own 1-yard line with the punt. 

This time it took just eight plays and the Wildcats hit pay dirt on a 5-yard pass from Thorson to JJ Jefferson with just 12 seconds left in the fourth quarter. 

Nebraska looked like it was going to have an easy time of it in overtime, getting to third and one thanks to Devin Ozigbo’s nine total yards. However, a false start backed them up to third and six. 

Martinez would complete a 5-yard pass and instead of kicking the field goal, head coach Scott Frost rolled the dice on fourth and one. It came up snake eyes, as Martinez’s pass was intercepted by Northwestern. 

The Wildcats didn’t get much going on its possession and instead, went for the game winning field goal attempt which was knocked in by Luckenbaugh. 

For his late-game heroics, the former walk-on was carried off the field on the shoulders of his fellow players. 

The win improves Northwestern to 3-3 on the season and given the punishing schedule it faces, winning this game was a must to even dream of getting to bowl eligibility. 

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Football

Thorson dials up best against MSU once again

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As much as you can never seemingly trust the Northwestern Wildcats football program, it appears you can trust one thing. 

That one thing is that Clayton Thorson will find a way to dial up his best against the Michigan State Spartans. 

Coming in to Saturday’s contest with Michigan State, Thorson had put up 637 yards and seven total touchdowns while completing 72 percent of his passes in just two games. 

History repeated itself on Saturday, despite the Spartans holding Northwestern to 10 total yards on the ground. Instead, Thorson ripped apart the MSU secondary for 373 yards and three touchdowns. He also completed 31 of 47 passes. 

It all added up to a 29-19 victory and proof positive that Thorson is MSU’s Kryptonite. 

At least this time around it wasn’t all on Thorson’s shoulders though, as he got a ton of help from his defense. 

Michigan State’s rushing game woes continued as Northwestern held the Spartans to just 96 yards on the ground. The Wildcats defense also forced 11 stops on third downs, meaning MSU would go just 4 of 15 on third downs in the game. 

Spartans signal caller Brian Lewerke gave his best effort, but having to attempt 51 passes (and completing just 31 of them) is not what MSU’s offense is built for. 

Wide receiver Felton Davis III did everything in his power too. He had seven receptions for 96 yards and a touchdown, while adding another touchdown on the ground too. 

But, he was the only one that really showed up and MSU seemed unable to get out of its own way for large parts of the game. 

Meanwhile, Thorson made the most of his opportunities. That included catching MSU peaking in to the backfield early on in this game and connecting with a wide open Kyric McGowan for a 77-yard touchdown to make it 7-3 Northwestern with just 18 seconds to go in the first quarter. 

It quickly became 14-3 on another Thorson touchdowns pass and his third touchdown of the game gave the Wildcats the final go-ahead score of the game. 

He hit Cameron Green on a 21-yard pass with 15 seconds left to go in the third quarter to make it 22-19. 

The final dagger came on Northwestern’s final drive of the game. After a quarter of nothing, Thorson put one in on the ground from two yards out to make it the final 29-19 margin with 2:51 to play. 

Thus continued the yo-yo season for the Wildcats and the head-scratching start to the Spartans season as well. 

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